Nvidia should be 'shaking in their boots' as quantum computing battles AI GPUs

hackernews | | {'이벤트': '📰', '머신러닝/연구': '📰', '하드웨어/반도체': '📰', '취약점/보안': '📰', '기타 AI': '📰', 'AI 딜': '📰', 'AI 모델': '📰', 'AI 서비스': '📰', 'discount': '📰', 'news': '📰', 'review': '📰', 'tip': '📰'} 하드웨어/반도체
#2027년 예상 #수익 전망 #수조 달러 #하드웨어/반도체

요약

D-Wave CEO는 엔비디아의 AI 칩보다 훨씬 적은 전력으로 복잡한 문제를 해결할 수 있다며 기술적 우위를 주장했습니다. D-Wave는 최근 플로리다 애틀랜틱 대학교와의 거대 계약 등을 통해 4분기 예약 건수가 전 분기 대비 471% 급증하는 등 성과를 내고 있습니다. 이에 맞서 엔비디아는 오류 수정을 위한 양자 AI 모델 '이징'을 공개하며 양자 컴퓨팅 소프트웨어 영역 선점을 노리고 있습니다. 하지만 아직 양자 컴퓨터는 대규모 언어 모델을 구동할 수 없을 정도로 불안정한 상태라는 한계가 지적되었습니다.

왜 중요한가

본문

As AI compute needs multiply, one quantum computing firm says it has the edge over Nvidia (NVDA). "If I was Nvidia, I'd be shaking in my boots," D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) CEO Alan Baratz told Yahoo Finance at the Semafor World Economy Summit. Baratz's company, which develops the hardware and software for quantum systems, claims the AI chip giant is building processors that would be increasingly difficult to power. "Our quantum computer takes about ten kilowatts of power to run," Baratz noted, comparing the draw to roughly five or ten GPUs. He pointed to a problem solved in minutes that he claimed would take a massive GPU system nearly a million years and "the world's power" to complete. The timing is calculated. April 14 is World Quantum Day, and the sector is surging. Shares of D-Wave jumped nearly 16% on Tuesday, while IonQ (IONQ) soared 18% after scaling its commercial systems beyond a single processor. Not to be outdone, Nvidia unveiled "Ising," a family of open-source quantum AI models for error correction. Nvidia's move suggests it wants to be the operating system of quantum. "AI is essential to making quantum computing practical,” Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said. It is a hedge: If you can't beat quantum efficiency, own the software that controls it. Shares of D-Wave are up roughly 140% over the last year, despite slipping about 3% in the past 30 days. In Q4 2025, D-Wave reported $2.75 million in revenue — a 19% year-over-year increase — but missed analyst estimates of $3.8 million, according to Bloomberg data. The company reported an adjusted net loss of $0.09 per share, wider than the $0.05 analysts expected. However, D-wave's performance has been fueled by "bookings" — promised future contracts — which hit $13.4 million in Q4, a 471% jump from the prior quarter. The company, valued at $5.3 billion, is making strides in the commercial and federal space. It recently signed a $20 million agreement with Florida Atlantic University (FAU), including a collaboration with Anduril Industries and Davidson Technologies on US air and missile defense applications. D-Wave also spent $550 million to acquire Quantum Circuits, aiming to shift from niche logistics to universal systems for generative AI. These deals suggest that some major players are willing to pay to test the tech. D-Wave, which sold its first commercial system to Lockheed Martin in 2011, now focuses on solving AI training bottlenecks. But there is a limit. Quantum machines are not yet general-purpose. They are specialized tools used for research and optimization tasks. They cannot yet run large language models like those that fueled Nvidia's trillion-dollar empire. Most developers still rely on traditional chips because quantum hardware remains unstable and prone to errors.